Barcelona win the 2026–27 Champions League

Category: Sports
Resolves: May 29, 2027

Polymarket

23.5% chance of yes

24h change: Not reported
24h volume: $5K
Price as of: 20:15 UTC

View on Polymarket

Gap

−4.5pp

Kalshi prices yes 4.5 points higher.

Kalshi

28.0% chance of yes

24h change: +0.5pp
24h volume: $4K
Price as of: 20:19 UTC

View on Kalshi

Last 7 days

Hourly yes probability on each venue, and the gap between them. Hover or use the arrow keys on the chart to read exact values.

Gap, Polymarket − Kalshi−4.5pp

Above zero: Polymarket higherBelow: Kalshi higher

View as a table

Yes probability on each venue and the gap, every six hours
Time (UTC)	Polymarket	Kalshi	Gap
Oct 17, 20:19	23.5%	28.0%	−4.5pp
Oct 17, 18:00	23.5%	27.5%	−4.0pp
Oct 17, 12:00	23.5%	26.5%	−3.0pp
Oct 17, 06:00	23.5%	26.5%	−3.0pp
Oct 17, 00:00	23.5%	28.0%	−4.5pp
Oct 16, 18:00	23.5%	26.5%	−3.0pp
Oct 16, 12:00	23.5%	26.5%	−3.0pp
Oct 16, 06:00	23.5%	26.5%	−3.0pp
Oct 16, 00:00	23.5%	26.5%	−3.0pp
Oct 15, 18:00	23.5%	27.0%	−3.5pp
Oct 15, 12:00	23.5%	28.0%	−4.5pp
Oct 15, 06:00	23.5%	28.0%	−4.5pp
Oct 15, 00:00	23.5%	27.0%	−3.5pp
Oct 14, 18:00	23.5%	27.5%	−4.0pp
Oct 14, 12:00	23.5%	26.0%	−2.5pp
Oct 14, 06:00	23.5%	26.0%	−2.5pp
Oct 14, 00:00	23.5%	24.5%	−1.0pp
Oct 13, 18:00	22.5%	24.5%	−2.0pp
Oct 13, 12:00	22.5%	24.5%	−2.0pp
Oct 13, 06:00	22.5%	24.5%	−2.0pp
Oct 13, 00:00	22.5%	23.5%	−1.0pp
Oct 12, 18:00	22.5%	24.5%	−2.0pp
Oct 12, 12:00	22.5%	24.5%	−2.0pp
Oct 12, 06:00	22.5%	24.5%	−2.0pp
Oct 12, 00:00	22.5%	25.5%	−3.0pp
Oct 11, 18:00	22.5%	24.5%	−2.0pp
Oct 11, 12:00	22.5%	24.5%	−2.0pp
Oct 11, 06:00	22.5%	24.5%	−2.0pp
Oct 11, 00:00	22.5%	24.5%	−2.0pp

In the news

Headlines from the past few days that match this event. A headline next to a move is a lead to check, not proof of cause.

Betting column: SunSport picks for Premier League action, plus EFL(opens in a new tab)
The Sun · 07:00 UTC
What do Barcelona need to directly qualify for the UEFA Champions ...(opens in a new tab)
Shotoe Nigeria · 00:00 UTC
Yamal dazzles in league, earns praise from team(opens in a new tab)
Taipeitimes · 16:48 UTC
Simeone still eyeing improvement after Atlético Madrid winning run(opens in a new tab)
Yahoo! News · 13:18 UTC
Ex-Manchester United forward Antony has house burgled as he opens up about toll of incident(opens in a new tab)
Gb News · 13:08 UTC
Lamine Yamal Breaks Kylian Mbappe’s Champions League Record At Just 19! Check Full Stats(opens in a new tab)
Newsx · 10:06 UTC
Decisive meeting between Barcelona and construction company over Spotify Camp Nou renovation(opens in a new tab)
Yahoo! News · 09:35 UTC
Harry Kane makes decision on Bayern Munich future amid contract discussions(opens in a new tab)
Gb News · 09:19 UTC

Probabilities are bid/ask midpoints (or last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢), shown to one decimal, e.g. 65.5%. See the methodology and risk disclaimer.