Katie Zacharia leaves as Press Secretary before 2027

Category: Politics
Resolves: Dec 31, 2026

Polymarket

>99.9% chance of yes

24h change: +71.5pp
24h volume: $43K
Price as of: 17:53 UTC

View on Polymarket

Gap

+0.5pp

Polymarket prices yes 0.5 points higher.

Kalshi

99.5% chance of yes

24h change: 0.0pp
24h volume: $39K
Price as of: 18:02 UTC

View on Kalshi

Last 7 days

Hourly yes probability on each venue, and the gap between them. Hover or use the arrow keys on the chart to read exact values.

Gap, Polymarket − Kalshi+0.5pp

Above zero: Polymarket higherBelow: Kalshi higher

View as a table

Yes probability on each venue and the gap, every six hours
Time (UTC)	Polymarket	Kalshi	Gap
Oct 17, 18:02	>99.9%	99.5%	+0.5pp
Oct 17, 18:00	—	99.5%	—
Oct 17, 12:00	—	99.5%	—
Oct 17, 06:00	—	99.5%	—
Oct 17, 00:00	>99.9%	99.5%	+0.5pp
Oct 16, 18:00	38.5%	99.5%	−61.0pp
Oct 16, 12:00	38.5%	44.5%	−6.0pp
Oct 16, 06:00	39.0%	50.5%	−11.5pp
Oct 16, 00:00	28.5%	35.5%	−7.0pp
Oct 15, 18:00	29.5%	33.5%	−4.0pp
Oct 15, 12:00	26.5%	37.5%	−11.0pp
Oct 15, 06:00	26.0%	37.5%	−11.5pp
Oct 15, 00:00	24.5%	37.5%	−13.0pp
Oct 14, 18:00	24.5%	36.0%	−11.5pp
Oct 14, 12:00	28.5%	39.0%	−10.5pp
Oct 14, 06:00	30.5%	39.0%	−8.5pp
Oct 14, 00:00	31.5%	39.5%	−8.0pp
Oct 13, 18:00	26.5%	33.0%	−6.5pp

In the news

Headlines from the past few days that match this event. A headline next to a move is a lead to check, not proof of cause.

14 Minutes That Changed Her Life! White House Press Secretary Katie Zacharia Exits After Just Five Days(opens in a new tab)
The Zambian Observer - The Zambian Observer - Late · 08:24 UTC
Trump ’s new press secretary ‘forced out of office’ after 5 days(opens in a new tab)
Blueprint Newspapers · 08:22 UTC
Katie Zacharia Makes First Remarks After Leaving White House(opens in a new tab)
The Daily Wire · 08:19 UTC
Trump reveals why he fired Katie Zacharia after her President–husband mix-up(opens in a new tab)
Hindustan Times · 08:08 UTC
White House’s Katie Zacharia sitting down for ‘interview with Wall Street Journal when fired by Trump’(opens in a new tab)
The Independent · 08:05 UTC
WHITE HOUSE GETS NEW PRESS SECRETARY(opens in a new tab)
The Daily Progress · 08:02 UTC
Katie Zacharia Out as Trump Press Secretary After Five Days(opens in a new tab)
Headtopics · 08:00 UTC
Katie Zacharia Breaks Silence After Trump Press Secretary Exit Less Than Five Days Into Job(opens in a new tab)
Event Coverage · 07:52 UTC

Probabilities are bid/ask midpoints (or last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢), shown to one decimal, e.g. 65.5%. See the methodology and risk disclaimer.