Bitcoin reaches $100,000 before 2027

Category: Crypto
Resolves: Dec 31, 2026

Polymarket

20.0% chance of yes

24h change: +0.5pp
24h volume: $4K
Price as of: 20:17 UTC

View on Polymarket

Gap

−4.5pp

Kalshi prices yes 4.5 points higher.

Kalshi

24.5% chance of yes

24h change: +1.5pp
24h volume: $2K
Price as of: 20:19 UTC

View on Kalshi

Last 7 days

Hourly yes probability on each venue, and the gap between them. Hover or use the arrow keys on the chart to read exact values.

Gap, Polymarket − Kalshi−4.5pp

Above zero: Polymarket higherBelow: Kalshi higher

View as a table

Yes probability on each venue and the gap, every six hours
Time (UTC)	Polymarket	Kalshi	Gap
Oct 17, 20:19	20.0%	24.5%	−4.5pp
Oct 17, 18:00	20.5%	24.5%	−4.0pp
Oct 17, 12:00	20.5%	24.5%	−4.0pp
Oct 17, 06:00	19.5%	24.5%	−5.0pp
Oct 17, 00:00	20.5%	22.5%	−2.0pp
Oct 16, 18:00	21.5%	25.5%	−4.0pp
Oct 16, 12:00	23.5%	24.5%	−1.0pp
Oct 16, 06:00	23.5%	24.5%	−1.0pp
Oct 16, 00:00	23.5%	24.5%	−1.0pp
Oct 15, 18:00	24.0%	29.0%	−5.0pp
Oct 15, 12:00	22.5%	26.5%	−4.0pp
Oct 15, 06:00	23.5%	26.5%	−3.0pp
Oct 15, 00:00	22.5%	27.5%	−5.0pp
Oct 14, 18:00	24.5%	28.5%	−4.0pp
Oct 14, 12:00	28.5%	30.5%	−2.0pp
Oct 14, 06:00	28.5%	30.5%	−2.0pp
Oct 14, 00:00	26.5%	30.5%	−4.0pp
Oct 13, 18:00	27.5%	30.5%	−3.0pp
Oct 13, 12:00	28.5%	31.5%	−3.0pp
Oct 13, 06:00	29.5%	31.5%	−2.0pp
Oct 13, 00:00	23.0%	28.5%	−5.5pp
Oct 12, 18:00	28.5%	32.5%	−4.0pp
Oct 12, 12:00	30.0%	32.5%	−2.5pp
Oct 12, 06:00	32.5%	32.5%	0.0pp
Oct 12, 00:00	30.5%	30.5%	0.0pp
Oct 11, 18:00	29.5%	30.5%	−1.0pp
Oct 11, 12:00	28.5%	29.5%	−1.0pp
Oct 11, 06:00	28.5%	29.5%	−1.0pp
Oct 11, 00:00	28.0%	29.5%	−1.5pp

In the news

Headlines from the past few days that match this event. A headline next to a move is a lead to check, not proof of cause.

Bitcoin ETF News: Spot Bitcoin Outflows Push BTC Below $81K(opens in a new tab)
Coinpedia · 08:20 UTC
Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC's $82K Recovery Meets Remittix's Earlier-Stage PayFi Opportunity Before November(opens in a new tab)
Openpr.com · 05:43 UTC
Bitcoin Price Prediction Points to $88K as Pepeto Buyers Target 100x Before the Next Stage(opens in a new tab)
Techbullion · 05:00 UTC
Bitcoin Price Prediction 15 October: BTC Slips Under $81K While Early Buyers Pile Into Pepeto(opens in a new tab)
Techbullion · 02:05 UTC
Crypto News Today: AlphaPepe Presale To Announce 5th CEX Partner as Bitcoin Price Prediction Reaches $175,000(opens in a new tab)
The Manila Times · 01:49 UTC
Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC Rebounds After Falling Below $80,000, Can Price Break $87,000?(opens in a new tab)
Newsbreak · 00:00 UTC
Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Trades Near $82,300 as Remittix's Planned $0.46 Final Tier Raises the Entry Question(opens in a new tab)
Openpr.com · 22:04 UTC
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Strategy’s Latest Buy Meets Remittix’s $0.28 Entry as BTC Trades Near $82,300(opens in a new tab)
Techbullion · 21:58 UTC

Probabilities are bid/ask midpoints (or last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢), shown to one decimal, e.g. 65.5%. See the methodology and risk disclaimer.